Though relegation is improbable for the side that finishes 11th, three clubs will want to avoid an uncomfortable wait to have their fate confirmed. At the top of the table, Carmarthen and Bangor are still in competition to clinch third-place. Here’s a team-by-team run through of what’s to play for on the final day. Also worth noting that the league uses goal difference, then goals for to separate teams level on points.
THE NEW SAINTS 1st, 73 points, +67 goal diff
TNS have been relentlessly churning out wins and are runaway league winners. Craig Harrison and Craig Darlington’s side have not any lost focus since claiming their third title in a row and will be approaching their final league fixture at Carmarthen Town as part of their preparations for next weekend’s Welsh Cup final, with the Saints keen to seal the double.
AIRBUS UK BROUGHTON 2nd, 58 points, +22 goal diff
Since securing second-place in the table, Airbus have rotated their squad for their final few games which has contributed to a dip in form. Key midfielder Tom Field and striker Steve Abbott are both suspended as the Wingmakers sign off a successful campaign at Newtown.
CARMARTHEN TOWN 3rd, 45 points, +2 goal diff
One of the key clashes of the day sees Carmarthen host The Newt Saints. The Old Gold cannot finish any lower than fourth, guaranteeing them home advantage in their first play-off game but if they can match Bangor City’s result they will seal third-spot and ensure themselves of home advantage for the duration of their play-off campaign – a significant advantage given they are the only play-off side in the south.
BANGOR CITY 4th, 45 points, -5 goal diff
Humiliated at home by TNS last weekend in a record league defeat for the club, City will be fired up against Rhyl in the North Wales coast derby, where Nev Powell’s side are targeting a last-ditch bid to snatch third-place in the table ahead of Carmarthen. The Citizens’ inferior goal difference means they must realistically obtain a better result than Carmarthen who play in-form TNS. Fourth-place guarantees Bangor home advantage in their first play-off match, third spot would ensure City can enjoy the plush surroundings of Nanthporth throughout the play-offs.
NEWTOWN 5th, 41 points, -12 goal diff
The Robins will complete what has been an excellent league campaign slightly troubled by an inconsistent run of late. Their heavy defeat to Carmarthen last weekend ended their hopes of going to the play-offs with home advantage in their first game. They have a three point cushion over sixth-placed Rhyl but an inferior goal difference. A point will seal fifth but a defeat would put that in balance. Newtown will be without injured forward Sean Evans, who is surely now a doubt for the play-offs, Zac Evans should start in his place.
RHYL 6th, 38 points, -4 goal diff
It’s been an excellent first season back in the top-flight for Rhyl, who will be delighted to be heading into the play-offs. Manager Greg Strong will be concerned with a run of five successive defeats as they close the season with a difficult derby against Bangor City. The Lilywhites can still overtake Newtown and finish fifth – only a victory over Bangor and a defeat for Newtown would see them close a three-point game and sneak into fifth-spot on goal difference.
ABERYSTWYTH TOWN 7th, 48 points, +23 goal diff
Aberystwyth need a point at Prestatyn to confirm seventh-place but the Seasiders will not be heading into the play-offs, having already secured European football via the Welsh Cup. Next weekend’s cup final will be a more pressing concern for boss Ian Hughes going into the final day, as he waits on the fitness of the club’s only goalkeeper Mike Lewis. Full-back Peter Hoy will start in goal this afternoon. With an six-goal advantage over eight-placed Bala Town, only a heavy defeat at Prestatyn and big win for the Lakesiders would see Aber lose their grasp on seventh.
BALA TOWN 8th, 45 points, +17 goal diff
Eighth-place will be enough to reach the play-offs if Aberystwyth win the Welsh Cup next weekend. They can of course qualify by closing seventh-placed Aberystwyth’s three-point lead. An Aber defeat in Prestatyn would leave last year’s play-off winners needing a big win over Port Talbot to book their spot for a successive year.
PRESTATYN TOWN 9th, 35 points, +4 goal diff
Prestatyn are currently the best-placed of the three sides who can theoretically still be relegated in 11th-position. Equal points with Port Talbot and Connah’s Quay leaves Prestatyn needing a better result than either of the other two sides to officially starve off any lingering relegation fears. Of course, even finishing eleventh would not necessarily mean relegation, which is pending on Haverfordwest County achieving promotion from the Welsh League. Boosted by the return to fitness of veteran striker Andy Parkinson, Prestatyn have enjoyed a slight upturn in results of late which they will be looking to continue at home to goalkeeper-less Aberystwyth.
PORT TALBOT TOWN 10th, 35 points – 10 goal diff
It’s been a woeful season for the Steelmen who appear to be spiralling. It’ll be a busy summer at the GenQuip Stadium but first and foremost they need to make absolutely certain of their WPL status. Still potentially at risk of relegation, Port Talbot share points with Prestatyn and Connah’s Quay and go into their final game against Bala Town, needing a better result than either of the other relegation candidates. Port Talbot can confirm safety with a home win this afternoon but will be without suspended midfielder Adie Harris.
GAP CONNAH’S QUAY 11th, 35 points, -25 goal diff
Connah’s Quay travel to Afan Lido level on points with Port Talbot and Prestatyn. The Nomads will be fancying three points this afternoon but are reliant on obtaining a better result than either Port Talbot or Prestatyn to confirm safety. Jack Rowlands should return at right-back following suspension.
AFAN LIDO 12th, 15 points, -72 goal diff
Lido will be glad to see the end of the season after Paul Evan’s already-relegated side are further decimated by a number of injury and selection worries. They have nothing to play for this afternoon. Former players Andy Pearson and Greg Hurley have been re-signed for this fixture.
WELSH LEAGUE PROMOTION: HAVERFORDWEST COUNTY
County find themselves four points adrift of second-placed, joined league-leaders, Taff’s Well after a defeat when the two sides met on Bank Holiday Monday. Haverfordwest have just two games left to get into second and achieve promotion to the Welsh Premier League, relegating the team that finishes 11th. Haverfordwest host fourth-placed Penybont today – anything other than a win would end County’s promotion bid for another year. Monmouth Town and Taff’s Well cannot be promoted but though they can still be overtaken by Haverfordwest, both sides have a game in-hand. Confused?